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Live data · Macro Monitor

Is the market set up for a correction?

A live read on the conditions that make a decline possible and the triggers that usually set one off. Each indicator is scored as pointing to downside risk, borderline, or supportive, and each row shows its source and date.

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Margin debt history

Customer debit balances in securities margin accounts at FINRA member firms. Borrowing tends to peak near market tops, as in 2000, 2007 and 2021, and falls quickly in selloffs.

Conditions, triggers and flows

Conditions (valuation, leverage) show how far markets could fall. Triggers (rates, credit, earnings, breadth) tend to decide when a decline starts. Flows show who is buying and selling.

Automatic and analyst readings

Rows tagged Auto update automatically from official sources. Analyst rows are reviewed by hand and dated on each row.

Status-only rows

Some inputs come from licensed data providers. For those rows we publish our assessment and commentary, not the provider's figures.